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Text File  |  1987-04-07  |  5KB  |  59 lines
  1. imp("s","n","Predict peak.","pos","Short term interest rates peaked recently.","dummy","dummy",0.4)
  2. imp("a","r","Predict peak.","pos","The market has been rising for months.","pos","The public mood is overwhelmingly positive.",0.6)
  3. imp("a","n","Predict peak.","pos","The IPI Ratio is greater than one.","pos","The IPI Ratio has declined for three months.",0.4)
  4. imp("s","r","Predict bottom-out.","pos","The GNP has decreased for past two quarters.","dummy","dummy",0.5)
  5. imp("a","r","Predict bottom-out.","pos","Business is bad.","pos","The public mood is very negative.",0.6)
  6. imp("s","n","Predict rising phase.","pos","Interest rates have been declining for several months.","dummy","dummy",0.7)
  7. imp("s","n","Predict rising phase.","pos","The trend in business loan demand is lower.","dummy","dummy",0.6)
  8. imp("s","n","Predict rising phase.","pos","Cuts in interest rates are likely.","dummy","dummy",0.6)
  9. imp("s","n","Predict rising phase.","pos","This is the year before a presidential election.","dummy","dummy",0.3)
  10. imp("s","n","Predict rising phase.","pos","This is the year of a presidential election.","dummy","dummy",0.45)
  11. imp("s","n","Predict rising phase.","pos","Predict short term prosperity.","dummy","dummy",0.6)
  12. imp("a","n","Predict rising phase.","pos","The IPI Ratio is greater than one","pos","The IPI Ratio is increasing.",0.6)
  13. imp("s","n","Predict falling phase.","pos","Short term interest rates peaked recently.","dummy","dummy",0.4)
  14. imp("s","n","Predict falling phase.","pos","Short term rates higher than long term rates.","dummy","dummy",0.7)
  15. imp("s","n","Predict falling phase.","pos","The trend in business loan demand is higher.","dummy","dummy",0.4)
  16. imp("s","n","Predict falling phase.","pos","Predict short term hard times.","dummy","dummy",0.6)
  17. imp("s","n","Predict falling phase.","pos","Increase in interest rates is likely.","dummy","dummy",0.6)
  18. imp("a","n","Predict falling phase.","pos","Predict peak.","pos","Interest rates have stabilized after changes.",0.4)
  19. imp("f","n","Predict short term prosperity.","pos","Yearly_growth_in_M2 - Yearly_growth_in_CPI > 4","dummy","dummy",0.5)
  20. imp("f","n","Predict short term hard times.","pos","Yearly_growth_in_CPI - Yearly_growth_in_M2 > 4","dummy","dummy",0.6)
  21. imp("f","n","Cuts in interest rates are likely.","pos","Prime_rate - Short_term_CD_rate > 2.25","dummy","dummy",0.5)
  22. imp("f","n","Increase in interest rates is likely.","pos","Prime_rate - Short_term_CD_rate < 1.75","dummy","dummy",0.6)
  23. imp("s","n","Buy treasury bills.","pos","Predict peak.","dummy","dummy",0.9)
  24. imp("s","r","Buy silver certificates.","pos","Predict peak.","dummy","dummy",0.9)
  25. imp("f","n","Buy silver certificates.","pos","Price_of_silver_per_ounce < 6.50","dummy","dummy",0.75)
  26. imp("a","n","Buy stock mutual funds.","pos","The dollar has fallen greatly vs. foreign currencies.","pos","The dollar's fall is continuing.",0.5)
  27. imp("a","r","Buy stock mutual funds.","pos","Predict bottom-out.","pos","You know a stock fund that does well in rising markets.",0.8)
  28. imp("a","n","Buy land.","pos","Your area has been gaining in population.","pos","Predict bottom-out.",0.8)
  29. imp("o","r","Stay in land and mutual funds (stock) if you have them.","pos","Predict rising phase.","pos","Predict bottom-out.",0.8)
  30. imp("o","r","Stay in T-bills and silver if you have them.","pos","Predict falling phase.","pos","Predict peak.",0.8)
  31. terminal_node("Your area has been gaining in population.")
  32. terminal_node("You know a stock fund that does well in rising markets.")
  33. terminal_node("The GNP has decreased for past two quarters.")
  34. terminal_node("Interest rates have been declining for several months.")
  35. terminal_node("Short term interest rates peaked recently.")
  36. terminal_node("Short term rates higher than long term rates.")
  37. terminal_node("The trend in business loan demand is higher.")
  38. terminal_node("The trend in business loan demand is lower.")
  39. terminal_node("This is the year before a presidential election.")
  40. terminal_node("This is the year of a presidential election.")
  41. terminal_node("The dollar has fallen greatly vs. foreign currencies.")
  42. terminal_node("The dollar's fall is continuing.")
  43. terminal_node("Business is bad.")
  44. terminal_node("The public mood is very negative.")
  45. terminal_node("The public mood is overwhelmingly positive.")
  46. terminal_node("The market has been rising for months.")
  47. terminal_node("Interest rates have stabilized after changes.")
  48. terminal_node("The IPI Ratio is greater than one.")
  49. terminal_node("The IPI Ratio is increasing.")
  50. terminal_node("Potential m.f. purchase has done well in rising markets.")
  51. terminal_node("Your area has been gaining in population.")
  52. terminal_node("The IPI Ratio has declined for three months.")
  53. hypothesis_node("Buy silver certificates.")
  54. hypothesis_node("Buy land.")
  55. hypothesis_node("Buy treasury bills.")
  56. hypothesis_node("Buy stock mutual funds.")
  57. hypothesis_node("Stay in T-bills and silver if you have them.")
  58. hypothesis_node("Stay in land and mutual funds (stock) if you have them.")
  59.